The Queensland Government says that the risk of being involved in a crash at the current road speed limits is significantly higher than at a fraction of that limit, so it is advocating a limit of 20kmh. Prime Minister Kevin Rudd says such a lower limit should be considered nationally.
Oops, did I write speed limit when I meant blood-alcohol level? The Queensland Government says the risk of being involved in a crash at the current blood-alcohol limit of .05 is significantly higher than at a fraction of that limit, so it is advocating a limit of .02. And Mr Rudd is interested.
I suppose there will be a risk at .02, and at 20kmh, but I am unconvinced that the risk of being involved in a crash at .05 is double, as is claimed by officials in Queensland and NSW and elsewhere. As I ask in my column in The Herald today, does this count of double include drivers not at fault? And, presumably, the statisticians have counted the number of drivers at .05 to arrive at the doubled risk - how did they do that? And did they count at night or during the day?
I'm dubious about the claim of significantly increased risk at .05, .04 and .03 because I know that when I drive after three beers my driving is unaffected. And I suspect that the statistics marched out by government agencies whenever they talk blood-alcohol limits could do with critical analysis by statisticians and experts not in their camp.
I realise that we need some speed and that we don't need any alcohol, but .02 strikes me as too glib when it would have a dramatic impact on the quality of life of many Australians. As the RTA says on its website, to stay under .02 you should not have even one standard drink. Why should that affect quality of life? Whether or not it fits into your view of the world and alcohol, a drink after work with colleagues, as just one example, won't happen when there can be not even one drink.
I must say that I have been unreservedly in favour of the zero alcohol limit for p-platers - much better zero that the tantalising .02, I think - and I have had my own adult children very much in mind. I am happy that they don't drink at all when they drive.
But I value the capacity to have two or three beers - yes, a double standard, but I would say I am a much more experienced and cautious driver than most younger people - and I would not be at all surprised if a critical evaluation of the stats showed that any increased risk up to .05 (and .08) differed according to age groups. In other words, that the risk applies to young fellows but not to sensible, mature and experienced drivers like myself!
Can there, though, be any argument against .02 if it saves lives? And 20kmh?