Have a guess what your council rates would be today if the Wran Government had not introduced rate pegging 32 years ago. You can start with the fair assumption that in every year, every year bar none, your council would have raised rates beyond the government-imposed ceiling, and the annual groaning and even squealing from city hall leaves that beyond doubt. It's anybody's guess, of course, but mine is, in view of the compounding effect of the extra increases, that we'd be paying at least double, perhaps treble what we're paying now.
Your guess is relevant because all the forces are in happy alignment for the lifting of rate pegging, for councils to be granted again the autonomy of setting their own rates. That is the draft recommendation of a review commissioned by the State Government, and Lower Hunter councils are in full and unanimous agreement! Even the Department of Premier and Cabinet's Hunter office is delighted.
Funny, I say, that when the screws were tightening on councils over those 32 years I heard a great deal about drastic cuts to services but I not once heard even a whisper about drastic cuts to staff numbers. Sure, there's been occasional staff freezes and restructures that have seen off a few managers, and staff cuts when council functions have been hived off to contractors, but I mean staff cuts of the order implemented by the real world when revenue dries up.
And so I wonder whether councils will be more intent on increasing staff or services when the rates lid is lifted.
Senior council officers have told The Herald that if and when rate pegging is ended Newcastle ratepayers face an increase in rates over four years of between 25 and 30 per cent. At least that, I expect, and it will be higher over the following four years.
I'll put my cynicism on display by admitting that I suspect the state government sees unregulated council rates as an opportunity for much higher proxy state taxes in the vein of the current waste levy. I fear a financial bloodbath with both local and state government seeing council rates as a free-for-all. Or is my cynicism misplaced? What do you see as the future for ratepayers?