ALP member numbers in Newcastle are falling fast, and it is likely that the same is happening elsewhere in the Lower Hunter. Early this month my paper reported that Labor membership in Newcastle had halved in recent years to 200 in 2008, and with the closing of branches since it is likely now to be 150. These are the people who preselect, or choose, candidates who stand for election under Labor's banner, and since in Newcastle and elsewhere in the Lower Hunter the Labor candidate is a shoe-in these few are in effect choosing the parliamentarian to represent Newcastle. Because of different electorate areas the number of those choosing the Newcastle federal candidate would be a little higher than the estimated 150 and choosing the state candidate about a third lower, at about 100.
At some point in the decline, surely, the few remaining local members will lose the privilege of choosing the candidate, and I remind you that ALP chiefs have overridden local preselectors to install Newcastle's Jodi McKay, Swansea's Robert Coombs and Charlton's Greg Combet.
In my column in The Herald today I write that when that happens we will lose a selection system based on favours, free lunches and ancient hatreds, one that has nothing to do with the quality of candidates. No need to worry about quality when the candidate is a cert, and I doubt that many local Labor members could make a reasonable assessment of a candidate's quality anyway.
So, will we lose anything other than lousy Labor candidates when the surviving party members are given a cup of tea and a citation and sent home for good?