The Hunter is heading for an unemployment rate of 15.4 per cent in March 2011, one year and eight months hence, according to the 11th State of the Regions report prepared by National Economics for the Australian Local Government Association. That's up from the current rate of 9.6 per cent, so we're talking thousands of people, thousands of families.
The figures I'm using, by the way, are true unemployment rates, prepared by National Economics using Centrelink figures to reflect the number of people out of work. The false rate is the official Federal Government rate that hives certain unemployed people off into separate categories and that has such a corrupt definition of unemployment that someone working one hour a week is employed. That false figure for the Hunter is, or was in May, 5.3 per cent.
There will be much misery behind the true figures as we head for March 2011, and much of that will be due to the fact that unemployment relief is manifestly inadequate for single people and parents with one, two or three children. The fact, too, that there is rent relief for those who rent but no mortgage relief for those with a mortgage will exacerbate many people's plight. In my column in The Herald today I look at Newstart figures, and I defy anyone to live half reasonably on these amounts.
But today I want to take you to a division in attitudes to the dole, a division highlighted by a new survey by the Welfare Rights Network, an organisation that helps people in dispute with Centrelink. The Network found that the people most likely to favour an increase in Newstart allowances (58 per cent) are those earning less than $40,000 and the least likely (43.6 per cent) are those on more than $80,000.
There's an ugliness in those findings. Is it that those doing OK prefer others to suffer? Are these well-to-do keen to preserve their privilege? Is it that people who do well in terms of income are more likely than those who don't to be selfish, ruthless, greedy?