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Climate models uncertain on future Hunter rainfall

02 Dec, 2009 04:00 AM
IT was still difficult to tell how climate change would affect rainfall in the Hunter and other NSW coastal areas, the organiser of a major hydrology and water resources conference in Newcastle said yesterday.

University of Newcastle hydrologist and civil engineer Professor Garry Willgoose said climate models predicted something between an 8 per cent increase and an 8 per cent fall in Hunter rainfall.

He said the wide variation in climate model predictions for rainfall made it hard for water authorities to plan.

"The problem is that by the time you get all of the data to see the signals, it might be too late to do anything about it," Professor Willgoose said.

About 220 people are attending the 32nd hydrology and water resources symposium, a three-day gathering that began yesterday at Newcastle City Hall.

Hunter Water managing director Kevin Young opened the conference yesterday morning but spoke as the newly installed chairman of the Water Services Association of Australia.

"While we all live in the driest inhabited country on earth, that doesn't mean a good water solution for one city will also work just as well in another city," Mr Young said.

"All options should be on the table for consideration including recycling, desalination, new dams and new decentralised wastewater systems."

Professor Willgoose said the conference had two main themes, the success or otherwise of this decade's major water reforms "the jury is still out on that," he said and the impact of climate change on rainfall.

Ian Kirkwood

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Remember your own words Kevin Young "All options should be on the table for consideration etc....." and stop spruking the proposed Tillegra Dam as the " Stand out option for the HUnter". You know as well as an lot of experts that Tillegra is not the stan out option so just admit it and leave the Williams River alone..Your own words " Recycle and Decentralised waste water management sound good, DO IT....
Posted by Dave, 2/12/2009 6:37:41 AM, on The Herald
What a joke... the weather people can't even get tomorrow's forecast right!!
Posted by Den Isles, 2/12/2009 8:34:28 AM, on The Herald
There is plenty of evidence to suggest that warmer global temperatures will see an extension of the tropics and a reduction in polar climate. This means that Newcastle is likely to get warmer sea temperatures which leads to higher summer rainfall. By contrast the Southern areas of Australia (Victoria, South Australia, Tasmania), whose wet season is in winter, are likely to get drier. Rainfall in Northern Australia has increased dramatically over the last 25 years - around the same time as drought has increased in southern areas.
Posted by One Salient Oversight, 2/12/2009 9:25:39 AM, on The Herald
That's great a " Stand out option of MORE TAXATION for the Dumb HUnter"
Posted by GeorgeJ, 2/12/2009 11:01:58 AM, on The Herald
There is plenty of evidence to suggest that the climate models are complete junk. The leaked ClimateGate emails prove that global warming is a complete fraud.
Posted by Jim, 2/12/2009 11:34:18 AM, on The Herald
I can say with absolute certainty that there is absolute uncertainty about what the climate will do 1 year or 100 years from now. Anyone who claims otherwise is a fool or a fraud. To base taxation, economic and social policy on such totally unsuportable claims is a complete absurdity. All we can say about climate with any degree of certainty is that it tends to be cyclic. Just as night follows day, floods follow drought, el nina follows el nino and so on. It's a cycle.
Posted by it's a cycle, 2/12/2009 1:42:29 PM, on The Herald
my very humble opinion is there will be more rainfall but less snowmelt, so go where you will with that good people.
Posted by just a thought, 2/12/2009 5:27:13 PM, on The Herald
The planet has kept changing for thousands and millions of years and will keep doing so. Nothing man or woman or child does will change this. The caveman fires had no effect on the plant. Embrace climate change, as our ancestors have done since the spawn of our species.
Posted by Jamie, 2/12/2009 10:42:39 PM, on The Herald

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