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 Data raises question on lake sea level policy 

Data raises question on lake sea level policy

09 Feb, 2012 03:00 AM
BUREAU of Meteorology data shows sea levels are not rising on the NSW coast in line with levels adopted in a Lake Macquarie City Council policy that led to restrictions being placed on about 10,000 properties.

Lake Macquarie council’s sea level rise policy said it was ‘‘appropriate to prepare for a linear increase of 1centimetre [10millimetres] in sea level a year’’ from 2008 to 2100.

Data shows that sea levels have risen by only 2.6millimetres a year from 1991 to 2011.

A council statement said the bureau’s National Tidal Centre provided data on sea level rise from 14 gauges around Australia, which were ‘‘corrected for changes in land elevation and barometric effects’’.

‘‘The closest gauge to Lake Macquarie is at Port Kembla, which has recorded a 2.6-millimetre-a-year increase [since 1991],’’ the council said.

The council said mean lake level had risen sevencentimetres over the past 25 years, which equated to 2.8millimetres a year.

The council said the state government monitored lake levels, but they were ‘‘not a measure of sea level rise, as flows between the sea and the lake are restricted by Swansea Channel’’.

The NSW Department of Planning said in its assessment of a Lake Macquarie Yacht Club redevelopment plan that there was ‘‘uncertainty surrounding the manner in which sea level will rise’’. The council said it agreed with that analysis.

‘‘There is uncertainty around the timing of predicted future sea level rise,’’ the council said. ‘‘It may occur slower or faster than the NSW Sea Level Rise Policy benchmarks.’’

The state policy planned for sea levels to rise 40centimetres by 2050 and 90centimetres by 2100, from ‘‘mean sea level’’ in 1990.

The policy said that was based on ‘‘the best national and international projections of sea level rise along the NSW coast’’.

The Newcastle Herald has recently reported Belmont developer Jeff McCloy is planning a class action against Lake Macquarie councillors for devaluing and restricting waterfront properties with its sea level rise policy.

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comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
The sea definitely rises.. and falls ... every day. The same as the climate change .. the weather changes every day.
Posted by Den Isles, 9/02/2012 4:09:40 AM, on The Herald
Please LMCC, stick to roads, rates and rubbish. Leave saving the world to more fundamentalist organisations.
Posted by JB, 9/02/2012 6:03:55 AM, on The Herald
So the water level has only increase by 26mm in ten years meaning that maybe at worst we'll see an 26 centimetre rise by 2100 .

And the global warming alarmist can't understand why we take their rants of impending doom with a grain of salt when the figures don't match their scaremongering .

Posted by Crazyivan, 9/02/2012 6:56:09 AM, on The Herald
It is grossly irresponsible to make a policy based on so much uncertainty.


Posted by Ben, 9/02/2012 7:06:44 AM, on The Herald
Check your insurance policy, see if your property is insured against flood. If you're buying a place check to see if it can be, and how much it will cost.
Posted by just a thought, 9/02/2012 7:14:33 AM, on The Herald
Will probably go down 2.6mm in the next 20yrs.
Posted by jr, 9/02/2012 7:17:45 AM, on The Herald
Sea level being dangerous is a huge furphy.

Globally the 2010 Houston and Dean paper showed there has been no unusual sea level rise over the last century.

Locally the 2011 Phil Watson paper from the NSW Department of Environment confirms what Houston and Dean found globally is also happening in Australia.

That is NO unusual rate of sea level increase! In fact sea level rise is slowing.

Yet what the global warming alarmists say is that somehow sea level rise is going to accelerate enormously.


Posted by anthony, 9/02/2012 8:25:38 AM, on The Herald
It was very silly to rush in and make a hasty council policy which affects so many people and properties.
Posted by Nat, 9/02/2012 8:27:25 AM, on The Herald
This is like the first half of one of those disaster movies where the plucky scientist is trying to convince others of the dangers of the coming catastrophe. For heavens sake the nearest tidal meter is at Port Kembla , and measures within the lake are unreliable. When almost all of the world's Scientists warn of serious weather events these people actively campaign against them. Wasn't the Pasha Bulker storm enough warning as to what the future may hold for Lake Macquarie?
Posted by Plimerisadill, 9/02/2012 8:34:27 AM, on The Herald
If the lake has risen 7 cm over the last 25 years, I cannot see it.

I am 53 and grew up in Belmont and have be on or around the lake since I can remember. Let's say 48 years allowing for infancy.

The lake is the same level now, or less at times, than I remember it all my life. In particular look at Black Jacks point, that is the cardinal mark (shallow water mark) at the end of Ross street. During high pressure periods the rocks are exposed nearly all the way out to the Cardinal Mark. I see this more now than I remember it as a child. If the lake has risen it is more like 2mm in 50 years.

Posted by Belmont Boy, 9/02/2012 8:53:50 AM, on The Herald
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