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 House prices fall in economic battle 

House prices fall in economic battle

5/11/2008 4:00:00 AM
HOUSE prices fell 7 per cent in the Lower Hunter in the three months to September, with Port Stephens the worst-hit area, according to Australian Property Monitors.

Prices fell 18.2 per cent in Port Stephens, 10.6 per cent in Cessnock and 3 per cent in Lake Macquarie.

Newcastle prices dropped 1.2 per cent and in Maitland prices were stable.

The region's median price stands at $295,600, down from $317,500 in June.

Real Estate Institute of NSW Hunter chairman Wayne Stewart said Port Stephens was most affected because many of its sales came from "lifestyle buyers".

"When the market gets tough, as it has over the last 18 months, they are the first people that leave the market," Mr Stewart said.

He said interest rate cuts which began in September and continued yesterday federal hand-outs and increased first-home buyer grants would help restore confidence to the market.

He believed the market had reached its bottom.

"Prices won't fly up, we'll see steady increases over the next 12 to 18 months," he said.

Hunter Valley Research Foundation economist Robin Mcdonald said the direction of prices would depend on the result of a battle that was being played out in the economy.

Ms Mcdonald said the battle was between the Federal Government's attempt to boost demand with interest rate cuts and spending and the "countervailing influence of low confidence".

She said it was an "even-money bet" on which force would win.

The region's housing sector had been in the doldrums since it peaked in mid-2004.

"If people are feeling nervous and unsure they won't commit to major purchases like a house," Ms Mcdonald said.

"There is a glimmer of hope on the horizon; first-home buyer grants and lower interest rates are encouraging because they assist entry into the market."

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Comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
lower prices are a win for young people. Improving affordability need not be seen as a negative. It was only greed and stupidity that drove prices up in the first place.
Posted by albe on 5/11/2008 9:53:04 AM
Agree Albe. When necessities like food and petrol go up in price everyone complains, however the cost of shelter goes up and everyone is happy. The Government's incentives to artificially inflate property prices don't help either.
Posted by Steve on 5/11/2008 10:39:01 AM
House prices are still in my opinion 25-30% overvalued based on long term trends. Anyway we look at it Aussie housing is still very expensive, relative to trend, relative to income and the rest of the world. I think we will see further price drops in the months and years ahead and not a quick turn around that many in the property industry predict.
Posted by Professor on 5/11/2008 12:06:06 PM
Well, that's a good thing for me! ^.^
Posted by Ashley on 5/11/2008 5:45:46 PM

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Q: Would you consider changing your bank if it failed to pass on the interest rate cut in full?

Yes
(74.4%)

No
(25.6%)

Total Votes: 82
Poll Date: 4/11/2008

16/12/2008 | So we now have desperate parents attempting to bribe teachers to get their children into a selective high school. What a sad indictment of our education policies, the holy grail of which is parental choice.
 
 
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